<\/a>In preparing for an upcoming post, I’d like to ask my readers something. Do a little poll.<\/p>\n

Suppose you have never flown before, you don’t know anything about it.<\/p>\n

But now you are about to take a commercial flight in the US: you want to go to Vegas for a poker tournament or your\u00c2\u00a0company sends you on a mission to put out a fire somewhere or you’re going to attend a highschool reunion .. whatever.<\/p>\n

Since you have never flown before, you do some research. Now SUPPOSE that you find these statistics (they are not realisitic, but, for this exercise,\u00c2\u00a0pretend you don’t know anything about flying and ASSUME that these numbers are correct):<\/p>\n

The odds of a commercial flight (within the US) crashing and\u00c2\u00a0killing all its passengers is 1 in 3000.<\/p>\n

The number of commercial flights on any given day is 30,000 (this is fairly accurate).<\/p>\n

This means, that when you board your plane, THAT DAY, 10 commercial flights WILL crash in the US.<\/p>\n

ASSUMING that these numbers are correct, will you make different travel arrangements (not involving planes)?<\/p>\n

Or would you think, oh well, a 0.03% chance of crashing is negligible, let’s go …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In preparing for an upcoming post, I’d like to ask my readers something. Do a little poll. Suppose you have never flown before, you don’t know anything about it. But now you are about to take a commercial flight in the US: you want to go to Vegas for a poker tournament or your\u00c2\u00a0company sends […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-emotions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=80"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=80"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=80"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/claessen.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=80"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}